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[Zaratustra]

Just taking this out of my head. Might be useful if you want to know which items can be safely scrapped and which ones are hard to come by.

Items in italics have a free drop for getting achievements.

Easy items (8 weapons for token + token + scrap metal)
Avg. Metal Cost: 8
Natascha
Blutsauger
Flare Gun
Kritzkrieg (crafts into Crit-A-Cola)
Frontier Justice
Wrangler
Eternal Reward (Cloak & Dagger + Reclaimed Metal)

Easy+ Items (50% chance of dropping with a token craft, otherwise craft with a guaranteed item to get it)
Avg. Metal Cost: 11
Shortstop (Force-A-Nature + Reclaimed Metal)
Holy Mackerel (Sandman + Reclaimed Metal)
Degreaser (Backburner + Reclaimed Metal)
Powerjack (Axtinguisher + Reclaimed Metal)
Sidney Sleeper (Huntsman + Reclaimed Metal)

Medium Items (50% chance of dropping with a token craft)
Avg. Metal Cost: 12
Scottish Resistance
Chargin' Targe (crafts into Gunboats)
Sandvich[/i] (crafts into Dalokoh's Bar)
Axtinguisher (crafts into Skullcutter and Powerjack)
Dead Ringer (crafts into Shiv and L'Etranger)
Cloak & Dagger (crafts into Eternal Reward)
Gunslinger
Force-A-Nature (crafts into Shortstop)
Backburner[/i] (crafts into Degreaser)
Huntsman (crafts into Tribalman's Shiv and Sidney Sleeper)
Sandman (crafts into Pain Train and Holy Mackerel)
KGB
Ubersaw

Ambassador (crafts into Southern Hospitality)
Southern Hospitality (Ambassador + Scrap Metal)
Dalokoh's Bar (Sandvich + Bonk)
Homewrecker (Eyelander + Equalizer, one medium and one hard)
Tribalman's Shiv (Huntsman + Dead Ringer, both medium items)
Bushwacka (Eyelander + Reclaimed Metal)
L'Etranger (Dead Ringer + Reclaimed Metal)
GRU
Vita-Saw

Medium+ Items (33% chance of dropping with a token craft, otherwise 33% chance to craft with a guaranteed item to get it)
Battalion's Backup (Buff Banner + Reclaimed Metal)
Black Box (Direct Hit + Reclaimed Metal)
Darwin's Danger Shield (Razorback + Reclaimed Metal)

Hard Items (33% chance of dropping with a token craft)
Avg. Metal Cost: 16
Jarate (crafts into Skullcutter)
Razorback (crafts into Gunboats and Danger Shield)
Bonk! Atomic Punch (crafts into Crit-A-Cola, Dalokoh's Bar and Bonk Helmet)
Direct Hit (crafts into Black Box)
Crit-A-Cola (Bonk + Kritzkrieg)
Mad Milk (Jarate + Reclaimed Metal)
Gunboats (Chargin' Targe + Razorback)
Buff Banner (crafts into Battalion's Backup)
Rocket Jumper
Equalizer (crafts into Homewrecker)
Pain Train (Sandman + Scrap Metal)
Frying Pan

Super Hard Items (25% chance of dropping with a token craft)
Avg. Metal Cost: 24
Eyelander (crafts into Homewrecker and Bushwacka)
Scotsman's Skullcutter (Axtinguisher + Jarate)

[Beat Bandit]

I'm just now realizing I have no idea how the new craft system works.

[JDigital]

It's Diablo II's Horadric Cube.

[A²]

I'm just now realizing I have no idea how the new craft system works.

You combine items into metal, and then Valve laughs at you.

[Zaratustra]

Updated with Engineer items. The hardest one to get is the Gunslinger, thank god you get one for free.

[Zaratustra]

I have to revise all this crap.
Meanwhile:

Brass Beast: 2 reclaimed + Natascha
Loch-n-load: 2 reclaimed + Scottish Resistance (cheaper to token craft)
Crusader's Crossbow: 2 reclaimed + Huntsman
Warriors Spirit: 2 reclaimed + GRU
The Amputator: 2 reclaimed + vitasaw
Ullapool Caber: 2 reclaimed + sandman
Steak: sandvich + critacola

[JDigital]

13 items, to craft one of these from scratch.

[TA]

At least these sets don't want hats.

[Mongrel]

The 2 reclaimed is ridiculous, frankly.

[TA]

Better than 4 refined, is all I'm saying.

[Niku]

The 2 reclaimed is ridiculous, frankly.

yeah the openly mercenary reasoning behind this kinda makes me less likely to keep giving a shit!  And I am a person who buys keys!

[JDigital]

It's a good way for Valve to take idled scrap out of the inventory. It's 75 items to craft the seven items, or more if you have to craft its components. Assuming the second set of items will cost the same, you're looking at three inventory pages of weapons to craft, or 10-15 weeks of idling.

Odds are some idlers won't want to spend that much scrap, or won't have it to spend, and will have to pick and choose. They'll still want the other items, though, which may nudge some idlers into the Mann Co store. Good job, Valve.

[Mongrel]

Well, if you idle for 10 weeks, you'll probably get a substantial number of new drops and can trade duplicates, so it's not as bad as all that if you can wait.

Like I haven't even been trying to get most of the old polycount items, but there's only a few I'm missing at this point, thanks to random drops and one or two trades (mostly just people asking me for my dupes and my asking for a random polycount item I didn't have yet).

[Zaratustra]

Brass Beast: 2 reclaimed + Natascha
Loch-n-load: 2 reclaimed + Scottish Resistance (cheaper to token craft)
Crusader's Crossbow: 2 reclaimed + Huntsman
Warriors Spirit: 2 reclaimed + GRU
The Amputator: 2 reclaimed + vitasaw
Ullapool Caber: 2 reclaimed + sandman

Steak: sandvich + critacola
>Sandvich
>Critacola (Bonk + Kritzkrieg)

Claidheamohmor: Homewrecker + Chargin' Targe
>Chargin' Targe
>Homewrecker (Eyelander + Equalizer)

Back Scratcher: Axtinguisher + Scotsman's Skullcuter
>Axtinguisher
>Skullcutter (Axtinguisher + Jarate)

Boston Basher: Sandman + Tribalman's Shiv
>Sandman
>Shiv (Dead Ringer + Hunstman)

Candy Cane: Kritzkrieg + Pain Train
>Kritzkrieg
>Pain Train (Sandman + Scrap Metal)

[Mongrel]

Still no way to craft the JAG, eh?

Hm.

[Saturn]

Jag is Southern hospitality and 2 scrap

[Zaratustra]

JAG = Southern Hospitality + 2 Scrap
Fists of Steel = GRU + 2 Scrap

[Mongrel]

Just scrap, not reclaimed? Not too bad then, guess there's some hope for poor slobs after all.