Topic: Werewolves vs Zombies (PT) (Read 12310 times)

Lottel · « **Reply #100 on:** September 01, 2010, 01:49:29 PM »

Wait, what? Am I missing something here?
I'm statistically more likely to be a villain? Aren't we all equally likely?

jsnlxndrlv · « **Reply #101 on:** September 01, 2010, 03:49:39 PM »

Quote from: Lottel on September 01, 2010, 01:49:29 PM

Wait, what? Am I missing something here?
I'm statistically more likely to be a villain? Aren't we all equally likely?

It's equally possible for every person to be a wolf, yes, but we know that Zaratustra voted for you as a zombie. Maybe he was acting on a hunch, or maybe he scried you and decided you needed to die: in the latter scenario, this would almost certainly be because you're either a wolf or the zombie killer, and statistically it is much more likely that you're a wolf than that you're a Belmont. That's why I'm voting for you.

Disposable Ninja · « **Reply #102 on:** September 01, 2010, 03:57:32 PM »

Well alright, I'll vote for Lottel I guess, since that's actually a pretty well reasoned argument.

Disposable Ninja · « **Reply #103 on:** September 01, 2010, 03:57:43 PM »

... I think.

Lottel · « **Reply #104 on:** September 01, 2010, 04:03:36 PM »

Shit. I know I'm innocent and even I'm like "Well, he brings up a good point."

I'm going to go with Zara was a zombie, and Zombie goals are different. I think he switched from the normal plan to Zombie plan.

Esperath · « **Reply #105 on:** September 01, 2010, 05:34:57 PM »

Anyway, if whoever gets lynched is indeed inno, lay off the whip and force the wolves to waste their night doing it. Hell, bane the new zambie at 50% chance.

Zombie goal is the same as inno goal minus one wolf, and you'll all end up as zambies anyway. Brains are delicious.

Brentai · « **Reply #106 on:** September 01, 2010, 06:19:33 PM »

I know I'm probably giving the wolves some raw meat here, but did Zara actually get a chance to tell you guys what his one scry was?

Esperath · « **Reply #107 on:** September 01, 2010, 06:44:58 PM »

I personally didn't hear anything.

Frocto · « **Reply #108 on:** September 01, 2010, 07:11:07 PM »

Gonna take a wild guess Kazz got a PM, then it got lost after Friday's switcheroo.

Lottel

jsnlxndrlv · « **Reply #109 on:** September 01, 2010, 07:11:18 PM »

If he told anybody, he'd have told Kazz. Arguably Esperath, as the replacement Kazz, would have access to that info. If he contacted an innocent, he may or may not have contacted that individual.

Frocto · « **Reply #110 on:** September 01, 2010, 07:14:47 PM »

Actually, excuse me, I only just woke up and I impulse-voted. Vote rescinded for the time being. Can someone please get in touch with Kazz and find out if he received any PMs from Zara? Surely Esperath is entitled to have access to those?

Esperath · « **Reply #111 on:** September 01, 2010, 07:34:58 PM »

I'll ask Friday.

Esperath · « **Reply #112 on:** September 01, 2010, 08:59:29 PM »

Scry wasn't useful.

Disposable Ninja · « **Reply #113 on:** September 01, 2010, 09:04:00 PM »

In that case vote retracted for now. Not terribly in the mood to (potentially) put another innocent man to the gallows.

SCD · « **Reply #114 on:** September 01, 2010, 09:29:54 PM »

I might be up for something crazy myself. Friend is starting to look rather furry, but that might just be because he hasn't shaved in awhile.

Esperath · « **Reply #115 on:** September 01, 2010, 10:00:15 PM »

Gonna vote Ziiro for now because he's gone under the radar for too long.

jsnlxndrlv · « **Reply #116 on:** September 01, 2010, 10:54:47 PM »

See, that's what I feel about SCD.

(It is midday on the third day. Less than 24 hours remain until the lynching.)

Esperath · « **Reply #117 on:** September 01, 2010, 11:24:34 PM »

Well, then just vote by Russian Roulette. Everyone pick someone else. Everyone with one vote has a chance of getting lynched. Anyone who votes no lynch or seconds anyone else is a wolf.

You have 4/9 chance of hitting a wolf-type, which is probably better than trying to get an innocent voting bloc against the wolves right now.

Again, if we hit an inno, don't re-kill the zombie, and bane the new zombie with some probability. If the inno dies, gets whipped, and the wolves kill an inno with their nightkill, the game will end up with 3 innos, 1 zombie, 3 wolves, and one devil.

Although that's not an outright victory, the combined inno+zombie team won't have the five votes necessary to lynch, and are certainly not sufficiently organized to get a proper bloc up against a wolf. If a single inno mistakenly challenges another inno at this point, wolves can bandwagon win, and even if the innos do nothing, wolves can votestall very effectively.

So yeah, tl;dr:

-Russian roulette vote
-Zombie hunter, lay off the whip if we hit an inno
-Baner, bane either yourself or the new zombie with whatever probability you see fit.

Esperath · « **Reply #118 on:** September 01, 2010, 11:26:11 PM »

Also, since I can't be voted on, I'm retracting my vote for now, so that no one has an excuse not to vote.

Lottel · « **Reply #119 on:** September 01, 2010, 11:34:49 PM »

You know at the last second, someone is going to vote for someone who's already been voted for. This will put that person one vote ahead of everyone else.

News:

Author Topic: Werewolves vs Zombies (PT) (Read 12310 times)